Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Resolves in 36h — verify the source
Verify
Resolves in 36h — verify the source
Verify
MARKET PULSE
US strike on Cuba by December 31?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
43% 6.5pp
24h volume
$198.3K
Orrery Pulse6% current2-8% 7D range+2.6pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
6%
May 146%+2.6pp from start
May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 14May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Wild vs. AvalancheUMA PENDING
High
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5UMA PENDING
High
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersUMA PENDING
High
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersUMA PENDING
High
Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsUMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5UMA PENDING
High
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
—
St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
—
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosPAST EVENT
—
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksPAST EVENT
—
—
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)PAST EVENT
—
—
Cavaliers vs. PistonsPAST EVENT
—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)PAST EVENT
—
—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)PAST EVENT
—
—
—
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 83/79 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 61/84 96/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 70 | 51/85 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 70 | 51/85 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election probability up 13.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31? shows a momentum pattern at 83% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? resolves in 12h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlist