Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
2Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
3Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
4Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
14% 11.6pp
24h volume
$345.4K
Orrery Pulse25% current21-34% 7D range-1.0pp net move
37%32%27%23%18%
25%
May 2725%-1.0pp from start
May 26May 26May 26May 26May 26May 26May 26May 27
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Spurs vs. ThunderUMA PENDING
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?UMA PENDING
High
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Seattle Mariners vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
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Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsPAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 93/88 88/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 91/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 27, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability down 11.6pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? shows a momentum pattern at 93% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 resolves in 10h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (2)
IGNORE (0)
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