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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
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2Spurs vs. Thunder
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
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3Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
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4Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
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5Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
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MARKET PULSE
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
61% 34.7pp
24h volume
$630.7K
Orrery Pulse63% current13-63% 7D range+48.3pp net move
72%55%38%21%5%
63%
May 3163%+48.3pp from start
May 24May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Top read
24h Δ 34.7pp, 1h Δ 33.1pp · Turnover 3.7× liquidity
2Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -18.0pp, 1h Δ -2.0pp · Turnover 4.2× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
24h Δ -10.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.0× liquidity
4Open
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 6.2pp, 1h Δ 4.8pp · Turnover 3.7× liquidity
5Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
24h Δ -8.0pp, 1h Δ -2.0pp · Turnover 0.8× liquidity
6Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -3.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.7× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Spurs vs. ThunderUMA PENDING
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?UMA PENDING
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?UMA PENDING
High
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5UMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5UMA PENDING
High
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5UMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)UMA PENDING
Medium
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5UMA PENDING
Medium
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New York Yankees vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
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New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5PAST EVENT
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/87 86/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 83/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 73/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 82/87 64/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 34.7pp on $0.6M of 24h volume.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? resolves in 45h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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