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MARKET PULSE
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
72% 45.0pp
24h volume
$323.5K
Orrery Pulse15% current14-51% 7D range-35.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
15%
May 1715%-35.0pp from start
May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17May 17
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 74 | 53/100 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 17, 2026
Read full brief - Starmer out by June 30, 2026? probability up 45.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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