Makarska: Tamara Zidansek vs Polona HercogUMA PENDING
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
ORRERY PRO
Prediction-market intelligence terminal
Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Built for humans, teams, and AI agents.
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
Resolves in 21h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
3Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Resolves in 5h — verify the source
Verify
4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Resolves in 5h — verify the source
Verify
5Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
75% 41.5pp
24h volume
$190.3K
Orrery Pulse11% current9-84% 7D range-68.5pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
11%
Jun 211%-68.5pp from start
May 27May 28May 29May 30May 31Jun 1Jun 1Jun 2
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 3Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 10.5× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan KumstatUMA PENDING
High
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver TarvetUMA PENDING
High
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
—
—
—
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 95/76 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 72/79 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 74/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 2, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? probability up 41.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlist