Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Resolves in 36h — verify the source
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Resolves in 36h — verify the source
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Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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MARKET PULSE
US strike on Cuba by December 31?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
44% 7.0pp
24h volume
$198.3K
Orrery Pulse3% current0-27% 7D range-22.7pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
3%
May 143%-22.7pp from start
May 9May 10May 11May 11May 12May 12May 13May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Cavaliers vs. PistonsUMA PENDING
High
High
Wild vs. AvalancheUMA PENDING
High
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5UMA PENDING
High
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersUMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5UMA PENDING
High
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsUMA PENDING
High
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
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Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksPAST EVENT
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Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesPAST EVENT
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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Pistons (-3.5)PAST EVENT
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Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 85/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 60/85 98/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 70 | 51/85 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 68 | 50/81 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election probability up 13.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31? shows a momentum pattern at 85% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? resolves in 12h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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