Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
3 markets in this event family · $358.2K 24h volume · $39.5K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$340.3K
3 markets · liq $39.4K
0.6pp
Mean |24h move|
0
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
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Active UMA dispute / pending
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Settlement positioning risk
Top mover · 24h
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?All markets in this cluster
3Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Vol $463.80 · Liq $13.1K
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Vol $339.8K · Liq $24.1K
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
Vol $0.00 · Liq $2.2K
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | 8¢ | +1.0 | $463.80 | $13.1K |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | 2¢ | +0.8 | $339.8K | $24.1K |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | 25¢ | 0.0 | $0.00 | $2.2K |
About this event
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
