Next leader out of power before 2027?
25 markets in this event family · $335.9K 24h volume · $742.0K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$335.9K
25 markets · liq $737.4K
0.1pp
Mean |24h move|
0
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
Top mover · 24h
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?All markets in this cluster
25Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $46.5K · Liq $27.1K
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $25.7K · Liq $28.2K
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $31.6K · Liq $29.5K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $36.1K · Liq $50.7K
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $20.4K · Liq $59.5K
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $8.9K · Liq $47.0K
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $17.2K · Liq $34.5K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $17.2K · Liq $46.9K
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $9.4K · Liq $19.8K
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $5.7K · Liq $17.0K
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $19.4K · Liq $31.6K
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Vol $5.6K · Liq $20.7K
+13 more in this event
| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | 1¢ | +0.4 | $46.5K | $27.1K |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $25.7K | $28.2K |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | 99¢ | +0.1 | $31.6K | $29.5K |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $36.1K | $50.7K |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $20.4K | $59.5K |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $8.9K | $47.0K |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $17.2K | $34.5K |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $17.2K | $46.9K |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $9.4K | $19.8K |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $5.7K | $17.0K |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $19.4K | $31.6K |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | 0¢ | -0.1 | $5.6K | $20.7K |
+13 more markets in this event
About this event
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
