Launch Kit

Copy-ready GTM for Orrery

Use this page when posting, pitching, submitting, or replying. Keep the message tight: research, verification, resolution risk, and agent-ready intelligence.

Main launch sentence

Orrery is the verification-first intelligence terminal for prediction markets.

The promise stays consistent across every channel: know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Never sell alpha. Sell verification.

Language guardrail

required

Say: verification queue, source clarity, resolution risk.

Do not say: best bets, alpha, buy/sell, copy smart money.

Every artifact should be research-only and not trade advice.

X / Twitter

X launch thread

1/ Introducing Orrery.

A verification-first intelligence terminal for prediction markets.

Not a broker.
Not a trade signal.
Not "copy this wallet."

Orrery shows:
- what moved
- why it matters
- what can go wrong
- what to verify next

2/ Prediction markets are noisy.

A market can:
- move sharply on thin liquidity
- be pinned near 0c/100c
- be expired but unresolved
- be UMA pending or disputed
- look settled when it is not

Orrery makes those states explicit.

3/ Core surfaces:
- Dashboard: top things to verify
- Scanner: live-research markets
- Brief: morning verification queue
- Signals: observations, not trade calls
- Research Queue: explainable priority score
- Alerts: email and webhook monitoring

4/ For AI agents:
Orrery has x402 endpoints and MCP tools.

Agents can call:
- daily brief
- market snapshot
- why it moved
- resolution risk
- signals
- wallet profile
- share cards

Every response includes sources and not_trade_advice=true.

5/ Try it:
https://orrery.me/start

Built for Polymarket users, researchers, teams, and agent builders who want context before screenshots become conclusions.

Reddit

Reddit Polymarket post

Title:
I built a Polymarket verification terminal: what moved, what is unresolved, and what not to treat as settled

Body:
I have been building Orrery, a verification-first terminal for Polymarket markets.

It does not give buy/sell recommendations. The goal is simpler:
- what moved
- why it matters
- whether the move is on real volume/liquidity
- whether the market is expired, UMA pending, disputed, or just pinned near 0c/100c
- what to verify next

The most useful lesson so far: price is not settlement.

A lot of markets look settled visually, but source/oracle state can still matter.

Free surfaces:
- live-research scanner
- Daily Brief preview
- resolution watch
- market detail pages
- shareable Pulse

Paid later:
- full research queue
- email alerts
- whale/wallet intelligence
- API for agents

Disclosure: I built Orrery.

I am looking for Polymarket users who want to tear it apart. What should this catch that Polymarket itself does not surface clearly?

Product Hunt

Product Hunt maker comment

Hey Product Hunt, I built Orrery because prediction-market tools kept showing me prices without enough context.

Orrery is a verification-first terminal:
- what moved
- why it matters
- resolution/source risk
- high-evidence observations
- daily brief
- alerts
- x402 API and MCP tools for agents

It does not give trade recommendations or predicted outcomes. The goal is to make market movement more understandable and less screenshot-driven.

I would love feedback from prediction-market users, researchers, newsletter writers, teams, and agent builders.

Hacker News

Show HN draft

Show HN: Orrery - verification-first terminal for prediction markets

I built Orrery, a research and monitoring terminal for prediction markets.

It focuses on:
- what moved
- why it moved
- source/resolution risk
- whether a market is expired, UMA pending, disputed, pinned, or officially resolved
- deterministic JSON endpoints for agents

The API supports x402 paid calls and returns uniform envelopes with snapshot_id, sources, freshness, and not_trade_advice=true.

I am especially interested in feedback on:
1. canonical market status modeling
2. response schemas
3. x402 payment flow
4. MCP/tooling direction

Try it: https://orrery.me/start

Directories / lists

Backlink outreach

Subject: Add Orrery to your prediction-market tools list?

Hey,

I built Orrery, a verification-first intelligence terminal for prediction markets.

It helps users monitor:
- live Polymarket markets
- market moves
- resolution risk
- UMA pending/disputed states
- whale/wallet activity
- Daily Brief
- x402 API and MCP tools for agents

No trade recommendations, no execution, no copy-trading directives.

Would Orrery fit your prediction-market tools directory?

Link: https://orrery.me
Docs: https://orrery.me/docs/agents
Start: https://orrery.me/start

Daily replies

Reply bank

Useful reply under market-move posts:

The thing I would separate here is price movement vs settlement state.

For this kind of market I would check:
1. 24h move
2. volume vs liquidity
3. expiry window
4. UMA/source state
5. related markets

Price move is not settlement.

-

Useful reply under whale-trade posts:

Large trade does not automatically mean informed trade.

For any whale-sized flow I would want:
- size relative to liquidity
- market status
- time to expiry
- rail-pinned / settlement-like flag
- wallet history / sample confidence

-

Useful reply under rule-wording posts:

The contract wording is the market.

Two markets can look similar but not be probability-comparable if expiry, settlement source, overtime/penalties, or dispute rules differ.

Launch rhythm

repeatable
  1. 1. Soft launch to design partners and daily readers.
  2. 2. X + Reddit methodology post with one useful artifact.
  3. 3. Product Hunt after first proof and polished screenshots.
  4. 4. Show HN with API/x402/MCP technical angle.
  5. 5. Keep publishing one shareable intelligence artifact per day.

Channel map

where to post

X

Launch thread, daily brief card, one useful reply bank item per day.

Reddit

One methodology post first, then one transparent product post.

Product Hunt

Launch after checkout and first users, not as the first public signal.

HN

Use the technical/API angle: schemas, x402, MCP, status modeling.

Directories

Submit to prediction-market, Polymarket, MCP, API, and AI-agent lists.

Next gate before big launch

commercial

The public story is now packaged. The next hard gate is still money: live Stripe checkout for Brief, Pro, and Terminal Pro, plus the first successful paid x402/API-credit call showing settled usage.

Orrery Launch Kit - Copy, channels, and share artifacts | Orrery