UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026
Creator

Will Enisey Krasnoyarsk win VTB United League?

Probability

0¢

1h

-0.3pp

24h

-23.4pp

24h Vol

$255.91

Liquidity

$212.2K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-20.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 15:00May 3, 2026, 14:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 23pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 23.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5797.3h

    LOW
  • 14:39Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 23.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 14:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

-23.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -47.2pp at 14:00 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 53 hourly moves
  • 14:00 · -47.2pp → 0¢
  • 13:00 · -37.5pp → 10¢
  • 3d ago · +27.5pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · +27.5pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · +27.5pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · +27.5pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · +27.5pp → 48¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 48¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventVTB United League: Winner
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the VTB United League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of VTB United League per the rules of VTB United League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the VTB United League; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

8 wallets
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