Will Denny McCarthy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
Probability
4¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-0.6pp
24h Vol
$1.0K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 8.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:54SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 23h ago
Price movement
-0.6pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -49.0pp at 3d ago (to 1¢).
Show top 8 of 50 hourly moves
- 10:00 · -49.0pp → 1¢
- 04:00 · -49.0pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -30.0pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -49.0pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · +47.5pp → 50¢
- 3d ago · +47.5pp → 50¢
- 4d ago · -46.9pp → 2¢
- 4d ago · -47.9pp → 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.