UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 12, 2026

Will Boca Juniors win Copa Libertadores?

Probability

39¢

1h

-0.9pp

24h

-1.3pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$36.16

Probability (last 7 days)

-9.4pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00Apr 27, 2026, 09:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 39¢; -0.9pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5491h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 76.6¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5491.0h

    LOW
  • 09:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5491h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.3pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.

Biggest hourly move: -9.8pp at 2d ago (to 39¢).

Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · -9.8pp → 39¢
  • 3d ago · -7.7pp → 39¢
  • 3d ago · -8.0pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -8.3pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -8.0pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -7.7pp → 40¢
  • 4d ago · -7.7pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (76.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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