Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?
Probability
78¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$10.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+31.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 997h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $10.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 996.8h
- 15:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 997h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 78¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 78¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 78¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 78¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 78¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 78¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 78¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 78¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 78¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 78¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 78¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 78¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 79¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the DFB-Pokal. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of DFB-Pokal per the rules of DFB-Pokal (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the DFB-Pokal; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
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