Will Necaxa win Liga MX?
Probability
4¢
1h
-0.3pp
24h
+3.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (8.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-25.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 4¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 8.3¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (8.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 852.8h
- 15:12SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+3.8pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -47.9pp at 1d ago (to 2¢).
Show top 8 of 44 hourly moves
- 1d ago · -43.0pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -47.9pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -47.4pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -47.4pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -29.0pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -29.0pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -28.0pp → 2¢
- 3d ago · -28.0pp → 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Liga MX. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Liga MX per the rules of Liga MX (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Liga MX; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.