AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Probability
27¢
1h
-13.5pp
24h
-12.0pp
24h Vol
$1.6K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 12pp over 24h
Now 27¢; -13.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $2.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:08SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 23:05ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
-12.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Biggest hourly move: -17.0pp at 00:00 (to 26¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 00:00 · -17.0pp → 26¢
- 15:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 14:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 13:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 11:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 10:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 06:00 · -11.0pp → 41¢
- 05:00 · -10.5pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-04-30: If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Alerts
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