Lonely-Mother
0x2056c23ae380e7275d6658af8402684b30df2dbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$5.48
Total PnL
$-28.02
Realised
$5.64
Win rate
39%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?
5 shares @ 51.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$4.82
$2.35
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
4 shares @ 9.9¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.11
- YES
Will Rudy Moise be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
4 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.19
$-0.44
- YES
Will James Ingram be the Republican nominee for MO-06?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.18
$-0.94
- YES
Will Jed Cochran be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
3 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?
1975 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?
573 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Octra FDV above $30M one day after launch?
394 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?
194 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of April?
80 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$0.21Jun 6, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$0.04Jun 5, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$4.90May 22, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$0.31May 21, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$1.00May 21, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$3.81May 21, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$2.95May 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$0.52May 21, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$0.18May 21, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$7.28May 21, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$0.66May 20, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$1.17May 20, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?$1.38May 20, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$5.11May 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$1.68May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$0.25May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$4.19May 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.15May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$2.16May 15, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$3.99May 15, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.