Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs Auger-Aliassime
Probability
37¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
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Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 198.8h
Price movement
-14.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Blockx” if Alexander Blockx wins the first set. It will resolve to “Auger-Aliassime” if Felix Auger-Aliassime wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.