Set 1 Winner: Gaubas vs Auger-Aliassime
Probability
32¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$105.00
Liquidity
$2.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.1h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gaubas” if Vilius Gaubas wins the first set. It will resolve to “Auger-Aliassime” if Felix Auger-Aliassime wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).