Mauthausen: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jaime Faria
Probability
37¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.5pp
24h Vol
$1.5K
Liquidity
$83.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Price move
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 37¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 42¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 171.1h
Price movement
-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 37¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Jaime Faria in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Andrea Guerrieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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