Cagliari: Stefano Travaglia vs Jesper de Jong
Probability
0¢
1h
-50.0pp
24h
-39.5pp
24h Vol
$24.5K
Liquidity
$32.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 39pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -50.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 39.5pp in 24h with 0.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 04UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 162.9h
- 13:06SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 39.5pp in 24h with 0.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 13:06SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-45.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Jesper de Jong in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Jesper de Jong. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
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