Vukic vs. Giron: Match O/U 22.5
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-10.0pp
24h Vol
$160.00
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 43¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 48¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 172.8h
Price movement
-10.0pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 35¢-15.5pp
Aleksandar Vukic vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 78¢+28.0pp
Vukic vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Sports · Vol $98.00
- 52¢+0.5pp
Vukic vs. Giron: Match O/U 21.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 71¢+19.0pp
Vukic vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 36¢-14.5pp
Set 1 Winner: Vukic vs Giron
Sports · Vol $20.00
- 28¢-24.5pp
Vukic vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 52¢-1.5pp
Vukic vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 31¢+2.5pp
Cagliari: Aleksandar Vukic vs Marcos Giron
Sports · Vol $13.0K
- 0¢-56.5pp
Pistons vs. Magic
Sports · Vol $5.8M
- 12¢-8.0pp
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Sports · Vol $3.6M
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $3.0M
- 65¢+16.0pp
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
Sports · Vol $2.6M
- 0¢0.0pp
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 96¢+15.0pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $1.7M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Marcos Giron in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.