Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$63.50
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1278h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1278.1h
- 17:55SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1278h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 28¢.
Biggest hourly move: +34.5pp at 2d ago (to 52¢).
Show all 51 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +7.5pp → 28¢
- 16:00 · +6.5pp → 27¢
- 15:00 · +8.0pp → 28¢
- 13:00 · +7.5pp → 28¢
- 12:00 · +7.0pp → 28¢
- 10:00 · +6.0pp → 27¢
- 09:00 · +5.5pp → 27¢
- 08:00 · +6.0pp → 28¢
- 06:00 · +5.0pp → 28¢
- 05:00 · +4.0pp → 27¢
- 03:00 · +7.0pp → 28¢
- 02:00 · +6.5pp → 28¢
- 00:00 · +7.0pp → 28¢
- 23:00 · +4.0pp → 28¢
- 20:00 · +3.5pp → 28¢
- 18:00 · +8.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · +8.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · +9.0pp → 29¢
- 1d ago · +12.5pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +14.5pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · +13.5pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · +18.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · +19.0pp → 39¢
- 1d ago · +21.0pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +14.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +14.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +14.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +14.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · +16.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +19.0pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · +20.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +20.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +22.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +21.5pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · +19.5pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · +27.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +32.0pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · +34.0pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · +34.5pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · +4.0pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +5.5pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +7.0pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · +5.5pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 18, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumbankofengland.co.uk
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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