Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Probability
95¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$1.7K
Liquidity
$18.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 95¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $18.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14767.0h
Price movement
+3.0pp over the last 24h, now 95¢.
Biggest hourly move: +4.5pp at 16:00 (to 95¢).
Show top 8 of 9 hourly moves
- 22:00 · +4.0pp → 95¢
- 21:00 · +4.0pp → 95¢
- 20:00 · +4.0pp → 95¢
- 19:00 · +4.5pp → 95¢
- 17:00 · +4.5pp → 95¢
- 16:00 · +4.5pp → 95¢
- 15:00 · +4.0pp → 94¢
- 13:00 · +4.0pp → 94¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Billion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Billions (https://x.com/billions_ntwk) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryusing the total token supply multiplied by the token priceLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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