Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 29, 12PM ET?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$1.1K
Liquidity
$9.38
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $9 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 03Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:24SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 12h ago
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 2¢-12.6pp
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $469.8K
- 0¢-0.3pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $287.3K
- 100¢+0.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?
Crypto · Vol $252.5K
- 0¢-0.3pp
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $231.5K
- 0¢-6.2pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?
Crypto · Vol $171.5K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.