FC Bayern Munchen vs. Rostock Seawolves
Probability
77¢
1h
+3.5pp
24h
+28.5pp
24h Vol
$69.37
Liquidity
$205.55
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 28pp over 24h
Now 77¢; +3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 72¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 208.4h
Price movement
+29.5pp over the last 24h, now 77¢.
Biggest hourly move: +26.0pp at 21:00 (to 77¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 01:33 · +25.0pp → 77¢
- 00:00 · +22.0pp → 73¢
- 22:00 · +16.5pp → 67¢
- 21:00 · +26.0pp → 77¢
- 20:00 · +20.0pp → 71¢
- 18:00 · +8.5pp → 59¢
- 09:00 · -3.0pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 48¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Germany BBL game, scheduled for April 27 at 2:00PM ET: If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the Rostock Seawolves win, the market will resolve to "Rostock Seawolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periodsTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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