Karsiyaka vs. Esenler Erokspor
Probability
43¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+10.5pp
24h Vol
$8.48
Liquidity
$140.05
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 43¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 189h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 188.8h
- 13:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 189h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 44¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 42¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 44¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 43¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 43¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 35¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 38¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 39¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 47¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 36¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 30¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 30¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for April 26 at 6:00AM ET: If the Karsiyaka win, the market will resolve to "Karsiyaka". If the Esenler Erokspor win, the market will resolve to "Esenler Erokspor". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.tbl.org.tr/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).