Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
Probability
11¢
1h
-39.0pp
24h
-39.0pp
24h Vol
$32.9K
Liquidity
$3.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 39pp over 24h
Now 11¢; -39.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 8.4× turnover
$32.9k traded against $3.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 16¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 166.3h
Price movement
-66.5pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 7:35AM ET: If the Guangdong Southern Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Guangdong Southern Tigers". If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periodsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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