SportsExpires May 5, 2026

Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions

Probability

11¢

1h

-39.0pp

24h

-39.0pp

24h Vol

$32.9K

Liquidity

$3.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 08:00Apr 28, 2026, 13:17
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 39pp over 24h

    Now 11¢; -39.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 8.4× turnover

    $32.9k traded against $3.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 16¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 166.3h

    LOW

Price movement

-66.5pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for April 28 at 7:35AM ET: If the Guangdong Southern Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Guangdong Southern Tigers". If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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