Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?
Probability
55¢
1h
-2.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$200.00
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+29.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14789.7h
- 23:19SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14790h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 55¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 56¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 57¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 57¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 56¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 57¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 56¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 56¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 56¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 55¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 56¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 56¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 56¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 56¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 57¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
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Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢+11.5pp
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $26.63
- 52¢+1.5pp
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 24¢-0.5pp
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 8¢-0.5pp
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢-0.5pp
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 5¢+0.1pp
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 78¢+5.0pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).