OtherExpires Jan 1, 2028

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Probability

68¢

+2.5pp

24h

+5.0pp

24h Vol

$21.59

Liquidity

$13.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+19.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 02:46

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 14786.2h
LOW
02:46Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14786h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
02:00Price
Probability up 18.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 16.5pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 16.5pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 17.0pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 18.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 19.5pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 18.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 18.0pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 19.0pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 18.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 20.5pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 21.5pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 20.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 20.5pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 14.0pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 16.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 15.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.5pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 18.5pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 15.0pp
to 64¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 14.5pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 13.5pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 20.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventCap FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cap's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cap (https://x.com/capmoney_) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jan 1, 2028
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket