Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Probability
97¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.4pp
24h Vol
$13.40
Liquidity
$401.91
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1596.3h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 49¢-1.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $116.00
- 84¢0.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 89¢-0.5pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 93¢+0.8pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 92¢+0.3pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 61¢-0.5pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 76¢+5.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 82¢+3.8pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-1.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 1¢-2.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $433.7K
- 89¢+4.5pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $422.5K
- 48¢+3.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $398.7K
- 39¢+3.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Other · Vol $340.3K
- 17¢+1.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Other · Vol $253.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).