Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.3pp
24h
-4.3pp
24h Vol
$6.1K
Liquidity
$7.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $7.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 106.6h
- 13:22SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is reinstated on YouTube by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from YouTube that either of Clavicular's channels (@LiveWithClav or @ClavLooksmax) will be reinstated will qualify regardless of whether the reinstatement has not gone into effect. The primary resolution source will be YouTube.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).