SportsExpires May 15, 2026
Creator

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Completed match?

Probability

95¢

1h

+2.6pp

24h

+14.5pp

24h Vol

$59.87

Liquidity

$19.3K

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

LIVE

Reason

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 15, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
espncricinfo.com
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (9.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 6, 2026, 05:00May 8, 2026, 13:37
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-08T13-37Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 14pp over 24h

    Now 95¢; +2.6pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 9.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 164.4h

    LOW
  • 13:37Signal

    Resolution risk

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

    LOW

Price movement

+14.5pp over the last 24h, now 95¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to whether the cricket match between Delhi Capitals and Kolkata Knight Riders scheduled for 2026-05-08 in Indian Premier League is completed under the competition's official playing conditions. This market resolves according to the finalized match status as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Any match where an official result is declared — including results decided by DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, a Super Over, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling — will resolve Yes. (Draws count as completed results when recognized by the competition.) If the match is abandoned, ends in No Result, is permanently canceled, or otherwise concludes without an official result, the market will resolve No. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed or permanently canceled, after which it will resolve as described above.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Manual override (pattern match)

Matched term

premier league

Reason

EPL — Sports.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Completed match?"?

As of Fri, 08 May 2026 13:37:35 GMT, YES is priced at 95% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +14.5pp in the last 24 hours, +2.6pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 15, 2026 (2026-05-15T10:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.espncricinfo.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$59.87 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $212.63. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $19.3K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 9.8¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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