Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner
Probability
61¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+6.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$396.70
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 61¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 18.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 5h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 22:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 5.4h
- 16:36SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:36PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 60¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 60¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 59¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 54¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 62¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 53¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 55¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 56¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 50¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 50¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 52¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 53¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 52¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 54¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FOKUS and KOLESIE in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 1 against KOLESIE. This market will resolve to "KOLESIE" if KOLESIE win Map 1 against FOKUS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://hltv.orgNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.