SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$896.52

Liquidity

$17.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 07:00Apr 27, 2026, 18:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $17.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:40Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 15:30Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+49.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Imperial Academy and LPH Gaming in the European Pro League Regular Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 27 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial Academy" if Imperial Academy win Map 1 against LPH Gaming. This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if LPH Gaming win Map 1 against Imperial Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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