Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

• 01
  Price move

  Up 18pp over 24h

  Now 91¢; flat in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 15h.

• 03
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $2.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between M80 and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Incognito. This market will resolve to "Incognito" if Incognito win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.