Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
Probability
47¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$1.0K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 47¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 5h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.6h
- 16:52SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 5h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.
Biggest hourly move: -7.5pp at 16:52 (to 46¢).
Show 8 hourly moves
- 16:52 · -7.5pp → 46¢
- 15:00 · -7.0pp → 45¢
- 13:00 · -5.5pp → 46¢
- 10:00 · +5.5pp → 56¢
- 09:00 · +4.5pp → 55¢
- 07:00 · -6.0pp → 44¢
- 05:00 · -6.5pp → 46¢
- 04:00 · -4.0pp → 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Passion UA and FOKUS in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Passion UA" if Passion UA win Map 2 against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 2 against Passion UA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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