Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 - Map 1 Winner
Probability
73¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+22.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$19.76
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 23pp over 24h
Now 73¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 9h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 9 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 01:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 8.8h
- 16:09SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 9h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+22.5pp over the last 24h, now 73¢.
Biggest hourly move: +30.0pp at 12:00 (to 80¢).
Show 7 hourly moves
- 16:00 · +22.5pp → 73¢
- 15:00 · +22.5pp → 73¢
- 13:00 · +22.5pp → 73¢
- 12:00 · +30.0pp → 80¢
- 11:00 · +22.5pp → 73¢
- 10:00 · +22.5pp → 73¢
- 08:00 · +22.0pp → 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between The Last Resort and Vlad to the Bone666 in the UKIC Masters Division Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 30 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "The Last Resort" if The Last Resort win Map 1 against Vlad to the Bone666. This market will resolve to "Vlad to the Bone666" if Vlad to the Bone666 win Map 1 against The Last Resort. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.