Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Probability
34¢
1h
-12.0pp
24h
-25.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$41.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 152.9h
- 07:08SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 153h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 34¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 44¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 49¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 41¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 44¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 48¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 57¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 56¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 56¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 57¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 17¢+17.3pp
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
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Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $25.00
- 20¢-5.5pp
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 46¢+14.0pp
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 40¢+38.5pp
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-8.9pp
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $9.99
- 0¢-1.4pp
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $9.99
- 2¢-1.1pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
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Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $439.4K
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MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://x.com/cz_binanceAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (43.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).