Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-22.4pp
24h Vol
$8.8K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 22pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 5.0× turnover
$8.8k traded against $1.8k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 04Spread cost
Wide spread — 9.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 13:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.6h
- 12:24SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-22.4pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Biggest hourly move: -31.9pp at 10:00 (to 0¢).
Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
- 12:24 · -25.9pp → 5¢
- 11:00 · -30.6pp → 0¢
- 10:00 · -31.9pp → 0¢
- 09:00 · -10.0pp → 22¢
- 07:00 · -9.5pp → 22¢
- 05:00 · -8.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 27¢
- 1d ago · -19.0pp → 31¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and South America Rejects in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against South America Rejects. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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