SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$9.65

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 15:00Apr 26, 2026, 01:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 21h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 96.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 3

    Expiry in 21h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 21 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 21.4h

    HIGH
  • 01:34Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 21h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Zero Tenacity in the DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 1:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 46 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In Dota 2, a "kill" for markets like team total kills, kill handicap, and interval kills is counted when an enemy hero dies and the game awards a hero kill event to the opposing team's score, which is the number shown on the in-game scoreboard and tracked in scoreboard feeds as team kills. In practical terms, this includes any enemy hero death that increments a team's kill score, regardless of who got the last hit, including situations where the victim dies to creeps, a tower, or neutrals as long as the kill is still credited to the enemy team. It does not include denies, such as killing your own allied units, and it also does not include building or objective destructions like towers, barracks, or Roshan, since those are tracked separately from kills. Assists also do not count as kills, because they are recorded as a separate player stat and multiple players can assist on a single kill.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (96.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.