Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+18.5pp
24h Vol
$2.02
Liquidity
$0.00
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 19pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 100.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:52SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 13:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 9h ago
Price movement
+18.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both PARIVISION and Team Falcons each kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.