OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-18.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$437.07

Probability (last 7 days)

-26.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 21:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 19pp over 24h

    Now 8¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 13¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 158.9h

    LOW

Price movement

-18.5pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.

Biggest hourly move: -26.5pp at 3d ago (to 21¢).

Show all 50 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · -13.0pp → 8¢
  • 19:00 · -13.0pp → 8¢
  • 17:00 · -13.0pp → 8¢
  • 16:00 · +5.0pp → 26¢
  • 15:00 · +5.0pp → 26¢
  • 13:00 · +4.0pp → 26¢
  • 10:00 · +5.0pp → 26¢
  • 01:00 · +5.5pp → 31¢
  • 22:00 · -7.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -7.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -7.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -7.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -7.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -6.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -6.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · -7.5pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 29¢
  • 3d ago · -13.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -13.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -26.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -13.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -12.5pp → 22¢
  • 3d ago · -10.0pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · -13.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -13.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -11.0pp → 23¢
  • 3d ago · -9.0pp → 25¢
  • 3d ago · -8.0pp → 26¢
  • 3d ago · -8.5pp → 26¢
  • 3d ago · -8.5pp → 26¢
  • 3d ago · -8.5pp → 26¢
  • 3d ago · -8.5pp → 26¢
  • 3d ago · -8.5pp → 26¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for May 2 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Sheffield Wednesday FC" if Sheffield Wednesday FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "West Bromwich Albion FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets