UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 2 Burnley FC?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.9pp

24h Vol

$22.17

Liquidity

$1.8K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (6.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-41.9pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 21:00Apr 30, 2026, 20:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 23h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 6.9¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 03
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 23h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 23 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 22.7h

    HIGH
  • 20:19Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 23h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.9pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.

Biggest hourly move: +44.0pp at 2d ago (to 49¢).

Show top 8 of 19 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · +44.0pp → 49¢
  • 4d ago · -42.0pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -37.5pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -39.0pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -40.0pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -40.0pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -40.0pp → 5¢
  • 4d ago · -41.0pp → 5¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game between Leeds United FC and Burnley FC, scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC match originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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