Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27?
Probability
95¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$206.36
Liquidity
$12.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 95¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 51h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $12.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 51h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 51 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 50.6h
- 13:26SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 51h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:26PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 95¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 94¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 95¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 95¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 92¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 90¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 91¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 90¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 86¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 86¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).