Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.69
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 352h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 92.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 351.6h
- 04:24SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 352h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Miami Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Miami Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (92.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.