Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of April?
Probability
92¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+5.5pp
24h Vol
$46.10
Liquidity
$5.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+17.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 92¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 87¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 123.0h
- 16:56PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 92¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 92¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 91¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 91¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 91¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 91¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 91¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 86¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 89¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 87¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 88¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 89¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 87¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 88¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 90¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 86¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 90¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo FinanceAmbiguous wordingfinance.yahoo.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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