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BusinessExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of April?

Probability

92¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+5.5pp

24h Vol

$46.10

Liquidity

$5.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+17.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Up 6pp over 24h

    Now 92¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 87¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 123.0h

    LOW
  • 16:56Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo FinanceAmbiguous wording
finance.yahoo.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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