Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?

1. 1

   Up 53pp over 24h

   Now 100¢; +32.6pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Heavy volume on this book — 7.6× turnover

   $6.7k traded against $878 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

4. 4

   Thin liquidity

   Only $878 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

5. 5

   Past expiry — awaiting resolution

   Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.