Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
Probability
85¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$18.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+17.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 85¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $18.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1569.3h
- 14:39SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 85¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 86¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 84¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 85¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 84¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 84¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 83¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 83¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 83¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 83¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 83¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 83¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 85¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 84¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 85¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 83¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 56¢-4.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.5M
- 2¢-0.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 55¢-3.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 56¢-9.5pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $880.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jang Dong-hyeok ceases to be Leader of the People Power Party (PPP) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jang Dong-hyeok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jang Dong-hyeok and the People Power Party (PPP); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).