SportsExpires May 5, 2026

KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$4.3K

Liquidity

$0.00

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 14:00Apr 28, 2026, 13:15
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 100.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 164.2h

    LOW
  • 13:15Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-51.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -53.0pp at 13:15 (to 1¢).

Show top 8 of 33 hourly moves
  • 13:15 · -53.0pp → 1¢
  • 12:00 · -4.0pp → 50¢
  • 10:00 · -15.0pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 53¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 54¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 53¢
  • 2d ago · +16.5pp → 53¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 54¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Kiwoom Heroes and Lotte Giants, scheduled for April 28 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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