SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?

Probability

49¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+42.5pp

24h Vol

$947.46

Liquidity

$0.26

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (98.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+42.5pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 21:00May 3, 2026, 20:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 43pp over 24h

    Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 98.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:51Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+42.5pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.

Biggest hourly move: -42.0pp at 3d ago (to 7¢).

Show top 8 of 9 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · +41.5pp → 49¢
  • 22:00 · -13.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -14.0pp → 7¢
  • 3d ago · -42.0pp → 7¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 18¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 19¢
  • 4d ago · +14.0pp → 20¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 21¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - Exact Score
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming La Liga game between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF match originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

17 wallets
Open on Polymarket